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Monday February 6, 2012 |
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It is impossible to begin a discussion about tangible assets without looking at the events of March 12th in the stock market. All the changes taking place currently that are positive for tangible assets are certainly not good news for equity investors. On Monday, March 12th, the stock market plunged across the board. The NASDAQ dropped 6.3% to 1923. This is the first time the NASDAQ has closed below 2000 since December 1998. This hit leaves the NASDAQ 62% off of its all time high accomplished only one year ago. The DOW was also hammered falling 4.1% to 10,208. The S&P 500 fell 4.3% to 1180 officially putting these markets into bear markets for the first time in twenty years. The really bad news for equity investors is that stocks are still too pricey. The headlines of the Wall Street Journal announces this fact claiming the market will move much lower as corporate earnings continue to fall. Even with this recent drop, the NASDAQ is still trading at over 1000 times earnings. Just to return to the valuations of March 2000, the NASDAQ could fall another 75% from its current levels. Finally, Wall Street is beginning to admit that we are in a bear market. The questions you, as an investor, must ask are: Am I willing to bet my portfolio that President Bush and the Senate will work out a tax cut package? Further, will that effort be enough to stimulate the economy quickly enough to restore profits to corporate America? Finally, will that effort put a halt to sliding equity investments? The answers to these questions will unfold over the next several months; but in the interim, Turamali, Inc. is recommending an increase in tangible assets to a minimum of 15% of one's investable portfolio. In order to accomplish your investment goals, I offer the following observations: GOLD There are so many dynamics in the gold market that it seems almost a certainty that gold will finally begin to rise. The most important issue has been GATA's suit against the gold price fixers. Will this suit that we have discussed for over two years which was filed in Boston finally bring an end to price collusion among Central banks and larger brokerage firms? This is without question the biggest gold event in over twenty years. It is also the ONLY time the U.S. government has been accused of wrong doing in a court case. Many feel that even if GATA doesn't win, it will put a stop to the collusion between the U.S. Treasury and large brokerage firms allowing gold to trade in more of a free market. The U.S. Treasury's reply is due March 15th. Some defendants have until March 30th with one extended until April 10th. The common thought is that most of these entities will move to have the case dismissed. There are many people who feel there is a great deal of evidence; so we are beginning to see something very unique happen in the gold stock business. Recently, HomeStake rose 60% and Barrick Gold is up 33% since October. Agnico Eagle is up 43% since November and Durban Deep is up 110% since November. It is amazing to see such big moves in gold stocks; yet, gold bullion has not seen those types of moves. It is important to note, however, that gold has moved from $258 per ounce to $273 per ounce. It certainly is an investment that will do much better than equity markets and is where investors should move a percentage of their portfolios immediately. We continue to recommend Gold American Eagles, Australian Kangaroos, Canadian Maple Leafs, and bullion coins along with Swiss 20 Francs and British Sovereigns as semi-numismatic choices. These coins now carry a little lower premium than they did for the past two years after the premium run-up during Y2K. SILVER If you are holding junk silver or silver rounds, Turamali, Inc. suggests that you might consider making an exchange for gold or platinum - especially if more than 5% of your holdings are in silver. PLATINUM DIAMONDS Also on the diamond front, DeBeers is moving into the retail business for the first time. This is a very un-nerving process for many jewelers who feel that DeBeers is cutting off the hand of the retailers that have fed them throughout the last 100 years. DeBeers has entered into a joint venture with the company, LVMH, who will move them into the retail business for the next century. With all of these changes, the diamond market is growing dramatically. DeBeers has seen two excellent years back to back and they expect the next decade to be even better. As we have mentioned on several occasions, there is not a more stable investment than colored diamonds which enjoy an extreme rarity and which benefit from the control of DeBeers. Turamali, Inc. believes colored diamonds, in particular, will flourish over the next decade with prices moving firmly upward. A GIA certificate should accompany any colored diamond purchase as it guarantees a stone's color. The market for traditional white diamonds has also been in an upward mode for the past eight months. This could continue, but generally white stones are more sensitive to the economy. Therefore, this market could soften if the economy continues to weaken. As more and more of our investors are moving into colored diamonds, please don't hesitate to become a part. To learn more about colored diamonds, please feel free to phone us at (800) 247-2812. COLORED GEMSTONES Through two new contacts that were made in Tucson, I have developed a relationship that I feel will produce another bank liquidation within the next several weeks. This time the stones involved are aquamarine and topaz. I will keep you posted as this particular deal is finalized. Another stone gaining publicity is the spessertine garnet discovered in Nigeria two or three years ago. This stone is now being mined quicker and demand has increased as more and more material is available for sale. We hope to be able to offer this particular stone in the near future; but because there are so few people that have access to this material, I must be assured that we have at least seventy-five stones before we can offer it to our clientele. C&A continues to believe that gemstones should represent one to three percent of an investor's portfolio and added as a special purchase whenever stones are available at wholesale levels (or below). Lastly, "museum" quality gemstones are always an excellent purchase for those investors looking for a donation option. They can also be held for investment as well. Currently, we have six "museum" stones and you can find out more about them by visiting our website at www.turamali.com. HISTORICAL DOCUMENTS I recently reviewed items that I have on my "shopping list" for various collectors. I have over $500,000 of potential orders that I have not been able to fill due simply to the fact that top end material is not available. The historical document business will continue to experience changes for the next year or two given the newly created avenues afforded by the Internet. In light of this, C&A is recommending to our clients that they hold their documents in order to allow prices to catch up (after the initial drop which was caused by the newly created Internet market). Margins for dealers in this area have tightened driving some dealers out of business. Collectors and investors should always take advantage of any truly rare pieces since there is no question in our minds that select documents will simply become unavailable. Some of those that we expect to vanish are: Washington, Lincoln, Jefferson, Kennedy, Robert E. Lee, Stonewall Jackson, JEB Stuart, Nathan Bedford Forrest, Patrick Henry, and John Hancock. C&A also recommends that investors continue to stay out of the sports memorabilia arena since most of this market is overpriced. There are a few exceptions, but our advice is to be careful when making a purchase. RARE COINS GEMSTONE GLOBES CLOSING REMARKS . |
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